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Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household Severe acute food insecurity expected in Gogrial West and Twic of Warrap during the 2019 lean season, following several conflict and The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households. Yemen’s warring parties agreed to a ceasefire in Al Hudaydah City on December 13, with future peace talks planned for January 2019. Boko Haram attacks continue in the northeast, and the ongoing conflict will likely severely limit area cultivated during the 2018 main According to IOM, 8,248 new arrivals have been counted between December 24 and 31 from Baga in Kukawa LGA into MMC and Jere. Negative rainfall anomalies persist across the country, particularly in the central highlands. However, widespread heavy snow is forecast at the beginning of January and will likely reduce deficits. Ongoing conflicts in the Kasai region, North Kivu, South Kivu, Ituri, Maniema, and Tanganyika Provinces have caused continuing displacement and affected households’ abilities to access typical livelihood activities. The Ebola outbreak in North Kivu and Ituri provinces, which has killed 241 people since August 2018, is set to become the second largest in Consecutive years of below-average rainfall in the South have reduced agricultural production and household incomes. The October to December rainy season concluded with below-average rainfall performance across southern Ethiopia, eastern Kenya, and most of Somalia. Crop losses and accelerated pasture and water depletion are most likely. Poorly distributed rains and drought conditions will lead to production losses during the main harvest for smallholders in parts of Planting has started across most of the region; however, the planting has been delayed by upwards of 40 days in parts of South Africa, Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household